statistics

Foundations of Statistics (Spanish)

I teach a course in Foundations of Statistics for the master program in Data Science at ITAM. Felipe González and I developed the syllabus and we created the class notes along Alfredo Garbuno. [Here](https://tereom.github.io/fundamentos/) is the latest course site and [here](https://github.com/tereom/fundamentos) is the GitHub repository with the class notes.

Responsible AI

Artificial Intelligence (AI) presents a unique opening to promote equality of opportunities and improve the quality of life of people of Latin America and the Caribbean. However, the responsible use of AI is essential and poses major challenges. In this work, sponsored by the [IADB](https://www.iadb.org/en), we focus on the subset of challenges that are related to technical processes throughout the life cycle of AI as a decision-making/support system. Our objective is to set recommendations in order to avoid results that are contrary (and often unexpected) to the goals of decision makers. These goals are varied: they can refer to undesirable consequences from the point of view of decision makers, wasting of resources due to inadequate targeting or any other objective that the decision maker is seeking to achieve.

COVID-19 State-Level estimates for Mexico

We adapted the semi-mechanistic Bayesian hierarchical model of COVID-19 epidemiological dynamics found in [Flaxman et al. (2020)](https://spiral.imperial.ac.uk:8443/handle/10044/1/77731) to produce state-level estimates of the number of infections and the time-varying reproduction number (the expected number of secondary cases caused by each infected individual) as a function of human mobility. [Here](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.09117.pdf) we explain the model in detail and the assumptions made for Mexico and [here](https://covid19mex.netlify.app/) we show state-level estimates (latest update is August 2020). We also published an article in the Mexican newspaper Nexos explaining the model results [here](https://datos.nexos.com.mx/?p=1469).

Computational Statistics (Spanish)

I teach a course in Computational Statistics for the master programs in Data Science and in Computer Science at ITAM. Felipe González and I developed the syllabus and I developed (and yearly update) the class notes. [Here](https://tereom.github.io/est-computacional-2019/) is the latest course site and [here](https://github.com/tereom/est-computacional-2019) is the GitHub repository with the class notes.

Multivariate Statistics (Spanish)

In 2014 and 2015, I taught a course in Multivariate Statistics (covering Bayesian Networks, Markov Random Fields HMMs, hierarchical models,..) for the master program in Data Science at ITAM. Felipe González and I developed the syllabus and the class notes. I am in the process of updating the course resources, [here](https://est-mult.netlify.com) is the course site and [here](https://github.com/tereom/est-multivariada) is a Github repository with class notes.

Introduction to R for data analysis (Spanish)

Notes for a 2-3 day introductory workshop to R for data analysis. [Here](https://poder-tidyverse.netlify.app/) is the latest workshop site and [here](https://github.com/tereom/r-analisis-datos) is the GitHub repository. I have taught this workshop (sometimes as part of a larger program) at [RMB](https://www.redmexicanadebioinformatica.org/navegando-y-explotando-el-poder-del-tidyverse/), [ITAM](https://www.itam.mx), [CONABIO](https://www.gob.mx/conabio), [SAI](http://www.sai.com.mx), [OXFAM Mexico](https://www.oxfammexico.org), [GNP](https://www.gnp.com.mx) and [COLMEX](https://www.colmex.mx).

Quick-count MX

In Mexico quick-counts take place whenever major elections take place. For the quick-counts a probabilistic sample of polling stations is selected in advance and estimates are presented in the election night. The complete samples are rarely available to publish the results in a timely manner hence the results are announced using partial samples which have biases. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical model that includes demographic and geographic covariates, the model reduces the biases associated to such covariates. The model was used, among others, for the [2018 quick-count](https://portal.ine.mx/voto-y-elecciones/conteos-rapidos-ine/) organized by the electoral authority. [Here](https://jovial-jepsen-cf1904.netlify.com) we explain the model in detail and [here](https://github.com/tereom/quickcountmx) is an R package with the model implementation, and [here](https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-31551-1_1) is a published paper with the methodology for one of the models we used.

Exploratory Data Analysis and Survey Sampling (Spanish)

I taught a course in Exploratory Data Analysis and Survey Sampling for bachelors in Mathematics and Actuarial Sciences at ITAM. I am in the process of uploading the material (developed by Felipe Gonzalez).